Polymarket snapshot · August 24 noon | Prediction Markets

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Card #17: Polymarket snapshot · August 24 noon

Canonical URL: https://lindsay.conspirograph.com/topic/prediction-markets/card/236

Three morning fills accompanied a seven-point rise to 28% Yes, while the spread widened and liquidity fell; the thin market remains sentiment, not evidence.

[VERIFIED FACT] At 12:01 p.m. Eastern, the active unresolved contract displayed 28% Yes and 72% No, a 24-cent last-trade field, and a 23/33-cent Yes book. Three morning fills added $78.33 of reported volume. [UNKNOWN] The public records do not establish why participants traded. [SPECULATION] The change is not testimony, a court finding, a jury poll, or a dependable verdict probability.