Card #14: Manifold snapshot · August 21 evening
Canonical URL: https://lindsay.conspirograph.com/topic/prediction-markets/card/231
The small play-money market moved to about 37.8% after mixed activity and one additional bettor; it remains a user-driven signal, not evidence.
[VERIFIED FACT] At 7:02 p.m. Eastern, the unresolved Manifold market displayed about 37.81%, 2,341.73 Mana total volume, 187.29 Mana in rolling 24-hour volume, 12 unique bettors, and 66 API records. Total volume rose 105.29 Mana since noon. [UNKNOWN] The records include mixed and cancelled activity, and they do not reveal why anyone traded or establish a reliable forecast.
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Topic: Prediction Markets. Comments: 0.