Card #04: Manifold market moved to 49% — August 16 evening snapshot
Canonical URL: https://lindsay.conspirograph.com/topic/prediction-markets/card/191
A dated 49% play-money reading with 38 bet records and eight unique bettors; it is sentiment data, not courtroom evidence.
[VERIFIED FACT] At 7:08:39 p.m. Eastern on August 16, Manifold's official API reported a 49% reading, approximately 975.45 Mana in total volume, approximately 403.20 Mana in 24-hour volume, eight unique bettors, and 38 bet records. Bet records may include cancelled or zero-amount entries and therefore are not described as 38 completed trades. The latest recorded market activity occurred at 1:57:42.623 p.m. Eastern, while the market remained unresolved. [UNKNOWN] The public market data do not establish why traders moved the price and cannot establish guilt, criminal responsibility, or the eventual verdict.
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Topic: Prediction Markets. Comments: 0.