Card #63: Polymarket snapshot · August 23 evening
Canonical URL: https://lindsay.conspirograph.com/topic/unresolved-questions/card/233
Five fills added about $876 of volume as displayed Yes fell from 32% to 21% and the spread narrowed to four points; the move remains trader sentiment, not case evidence.
[VERIFIED FACT] At 7:01 p.m. Eastern, the active unresolved contract displayed 21% Yes and 79% No, while its last-trade field was 20 cents and the Yes order book was 19-cent bid/23-cent ask. Five post-noon fills added $875.99 of reported volume. [UNKNOWN] The public records show the trades but do not establish why participants acted. [SPECULATION] Even with a narrower spread and more turnover, this market is not sworn evidence, an adjudication, a jury poll, or a dependable verdict probability.
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Topic: Unresolved Questions. Comments: 0.