Card #96: Prediction markets · fourth deliberation-day evening snapshot
Canonical URL: https://lindsay.conspirograph.com/topic/trial-day-developments/card/271
After Day 25 ended without a verdict, Polymarket displayed 16.5% and Manifold 42.69%; their 26.19-point divergence is platform sentiment, not evidence or jury information.
[VERIFIED FACT] At 7:03:26 p.m. Eastern on September 1, unresolved Polymarket market 3709100 displayed 16.5% Yes and unresolved Manifold market ytIdLCSgAR displayed 42.69%. Since the noon capture, Polymarket fell 1.0 percentage point while reported total volume rose about
7,208.93; Manifold fell about 6.06 points while reported total volume rose about 202.69 Mana. The absolute cross-platform gap narrowed from about 31.25 points to about 26.19 points. [SPECULATION] These displays and movements are platform sentiment, not court evidence, a representative jury poll, an authenticated deliberation leak, or dependable verdict probabilities. [UNKNOWN] The public APIs do not establish why participants traded or whether activity followed the no-verdict adjournment, the impasse coverage, or other public commentary.
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Topic: Trial-Day Developments. Comments: 0.