Card #90: Prediction markets · second deliberation-day evening snapshot
Canonical URL: https://lindsay.conspirograph.com/topic/trial-day-developments/card/261
Both unresolved platforms moved lower after the jury adjourned for the weekend, while retaining a roughly 29-point cross-platform gap—further reason to treat them as sentiment, never evidence.
[VERIFIED FACT] At 7:02:48 p.m. ET, Polymarket displayed 29.5% Yes and 70.5% No, a 30-cent last-trade field, a 29/30-cent Yes book, $56,418.22 reported total volume, and $25,336.79 liquidity. The Yes display was 7.5 points below the noon archive capture. Manifold displayed 58.85% with $4,155.90 total volume, approximately 8.45 points below its noon capture. [SPECULATION] The unresolved platforms still differed by approximately 29.35 points. Neither movement nor divergence is evidence, an authenticated deliberation leak, a jury poll, or a dependable verdict probability. [UNKNOWN] No public information establishes why traders moved either market.
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Topic: Trial-Day Developments. Comments: 0.