Polymarket snapshot · August 21 noon | Source Library & Methodology

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Card #58: Polymarket snapshot · August 21 noon

Canonical URL: https://lindsay.conspirograph.com/topic/source-library-methodology/card/226

The small contract moved to 61.5% Yes after three overnight trades; this is trader sentiment, not courtroom evidence or a jury poll.

[VERIFIED FACT] At 12:01 p.m. Eastern, the active unresolved Polymarket contract displayed 61.5% Yes, 38.5% No, a 62-cent last trade, 61-cent bid, 62-cent ask, ,148.56 total volume, and about $647.97 liquidity. Three overnight trades added 84.69 of volume. [SPECULATION] The contract remains a small market sentiment snapshot, not evidence, adjudication, jury polling, or a dependable verdict probability.