Polymarket snapshot · August 20 noon | Source Library & Methodology

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Card #51: Polymarket snapshot · August 20 noon

Canonical URL: https://lindsay.conspirograph.com/topic/source-library-methodology/card/219

The contract displayed 65.5% Yes with more volume and liquidity and a tighter spread; this remains small-market sentiment, not evidence.

[VERIFIED FACT] At 12:02 p.m. Eastern, the active unresolved Polymarket contract displayed 65.5% Yes and 34.5% No, a 63-cent last trade, 65-cent bid, 66-cent ask, $963.87 total volume, and about $462.02 liquidity. Since the prior evening, Yes fell 4.5 points while volume and liquidity rose and the spread narrowed from ten cents to one cent. [SPECULATION] This is a small prediction market's sentiment snapshot—not evidence, testimony, a jury poll, or a reliable estimate of the result.