Polymarket snapshot · August 19 evening | Source Library & Methodology

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Card #48: Polymarket snapshot · August 19 evening

Canonical URL: https://lindsay.conspirograph.com/topic/source-library-methodology/card/216

The contract displayed 70% Yes after additional trading, but its last trade was 64 cents and the bid-ask spread widened; this remains small-market sentiment, not evidence.

[VERIFIED FACT] At 7:02 p.m. Eastern, the active unresolved Polymarket contract displayed 70% Yes and 30% No, a 64-cent last trade, 65-cent bid, 75-cent ask, $722.14 total volume, and about $314.86 liquidity. Since noon, Yes rose 6.5 points and volume grew by about 40.82 while the displayed spread widened from one cent to ten cents. [SPECULATION] This is a small prediction market's sentiment snapshot—not evidence, testimony, a jury poll, or a reliable estimate of the legal result.